621-22-129 - Bldg 160 Kitchen AHU-4 Replacement 3

Awarded 2025-09-03 — 27 days before fiscal year end (Sep 30). End-of-year awards often have compressed timelines and reduced oversight.

Post-award modifications total 100% of the original award. Change orders exceeding 50% suggest scope creep, poor initial estimates, or intentional low-bidding.

First modification occurred shortly after award — before significant work could have been performed. Early scope changes may indicate incomplete requirements.

Awards in this procurement context show high vendor concentration (elevated HHI). A small number of contractors receive a disproportionate share of awards, which may indicate limited market engagement or barriers to entry.

This agency's spending on this type of work increased significantly vs prior years. Rapid spending increases often outpace oversight capacity.