Green Knob Fire Tower Rehab-Pigsah National Forest 2

Post-award modifications total 117% of the original award. Change orders exceeding 50% suggest scope creep, poor initial estimates, or intentional low-bidding.

First modification occurred shortly after award — before significant work could have been performed. Early scope changes may indicate incomplete requirements.

Initial award was below peer average, then modifications added scope. This buy-in pattern — underbidding to win, then recovering margin through change orders — is a documented procurement risk.